Election 2017: Labour triumphs in London again

by Dave Hill

It was a national election that no party won: the Conservatives misfired disastrously and Labour remains a long way from power. But in the capital, Labour has triumphed again. Before polling stations opened yesterday morning, the big question was about how resilient the party’s defences would be against a Tory advance. As many as nine Labour seats had looked vulnerable. In the end, Labour actually made gains at the expense of the Tories, who also lost out overall to the Liberal Democrats.

Before the election, Labour had 45 of London’s 73 constituencies, the Conservatives had 26 and the Lib Dems two. The score now is:

  • Labour 49 (up 4)
  • Conservatives 21 (down 5)
  • Lib Dems 3 (up 1)

Seven seats have changed hands.

  • Labour took Battersea, Croydon CentralEnfield Southgate and Kensington from the Tories while recording decisive victories in all the marginal seats that had seemed so susceptible before polling stations opened. Battersea had been a Labour target in 2015, yet seen Jane Ellison strengthen her position. Now, Labour’s Marsha De Cordova is its MP with a majority of 2,416. Sarah Jones removed Gavin Barwell, defending the smallest majority in the city, from Croydon Central at the second attempt. Enfield Southgate’s utterly unexpected switch from blue to red, recalls the famous downfall of Michael Portillo in the 1997 Tony Blair landslide. Emma Dent Coad, a tireless opposition Labour councillor in Royal Kensington and Chelsea, is the first ever Labour winner of Kensington. The margin was 20 votes, following three recounts. Meanwhile, Rupa Huq strolled home in Ealing Central and Acton by 13,807. She had a cushion of just 274. Astonishing.
  • The Conservatives recorded a single gain, with Zac Goldsmith re-capturing Richmond Park from the Lib Dems’ Sarah Olney by a mere 45 votes. A truer story of the Tories’ night is the number of seemingly impregnable seats that have now been rendered marginal by Labour: arch Brexiter Theresa Villiers held seemingly rock solid Chipping Barnet by just 353.
  • The Lib Dems added to Conservative woes with Sir Vince Cable re-taking Twickenham having lost it in 2015 and Sir Ed Davey doing the same in Kingston and Surbiton. Their third comeback knight, Sir Simon Hughes, was well and truly buried by Neil Coyle in Bermondsey and Old Southwark but Tom Brake will be delighted to have held Carhsalton and Wallington yet again against what he had described as probably his toughest defence yet.
  • UKIP won no seats and neither did the Greens.

Below are all the London results in alphabetical order.

 

Barking

Labour Hold

MP: Margaret Hodge

An easy hold for the veteran dame.

 

Battersea

LABOUR GAIN

MP: Marsha de Cordova

It had seemed safe for Jane Ellison. Not so.

 

Beckenham

Conservative Hold

MP: Bob Stewart

Comfortable for the Tory, but big rise in Labour share.

 

Bermondsey & Old Southwark

Labour Hold

MP: Neil Coyle

Not even close to a comeback for Lib Dem Simon Hughes as Neil Coyle hoists his majority to 12,972.

 

Bethnal Green & Bow

Labour Hold

MP: Rushanara Ali

No problem for the incumbent. Majority: 35,393.

 

Bexleyheath & Crayford

Conservative Hold

MP: David Evennett

Not much change here in strong Tory country, with UKIP vote collapsing to benefit of both principal parties. 

 

Brent Central

Labour Hold

MP: Dawn Butler

Swing of nearly 11% to Labour here as vote share of every other party dipped. Butler took a resounding 73.1%.

 

Brent North

Labour Hold

MP: Barry Gardiner

He shone in the campaign and now has a majority of 17,061.

 

Brentford & Isleworth

Labour Hold

MP: Ruth Cadbury

The incumbent’s share went up by 13.6% and her majority from a painfully slim 465 to a plump 12,182.

 

Bromley & Chislehurst

Conservative Hold

MP: Bob Neill

Tory majority dipped below 10,000.

 

Camberwell & Peckham

Labour Hold

MP: Harriet Harman

A massive majority of 37,316 and a 77.8% vote share.

 

Carshalton & Wallington

Lib Dem Hold

MP: Tom Brake

The Tories have crept a little closer but Brake has won again, by 1,369 votes.

 

Chelsea & Fulham

Conservative Hold

MP: Greg Hands

Labour vote share up 10%, Tory share down 10%.

 

Chingford & Woodford Green

Conservative Hold

MP: Iain Duncan Smith

A surge in the Labour vote reduces IDS majority to 2,438.

 

Chipping Barnet

Conservative Hold

MP: Theresa Villiers

The leading Brexiter got home by just 353 in strongly Remain-voting Barnet. There might be a lesson there.

 

Cities of London & Westminster

Conservative Hold

MP: Mark Fields

Not looking quite so impregnable suddenly: majority 3,148.

 

Croydon Central

LABOUR GAIN

MP: Sarah Jones

This didn’t seem in play seven weeks ago. But Gavin Barwell has gone.

 

Croydon North

Labour Hold

MP: Steve Reed

A 32,365 majority.

 

Croydon South

Conservative hold

MP: Chris Philp

Even an 11% swing to Labour didn’t worry the incumbent here.

 

Dagenham & Rainham

Labour Hold

MP: Jon Cruddas

The UKIP vote swung behind the Tory as expected, but not enough of it. Cruddas’s majority is slightly down. Among Labour winners, that makes him stand out.

 

Dulwich & West Norwood

Labour Hold

MP: Helen Hayes

Big consolidation in this safe Labour seat.

 

Ealing Central & Acton

Labour Hold

MP: Rupa Huq

She started with a majority of 274, the capital’s second smallest. She’s won by 13,807. Staggering.

 

Ealing North

Labour Hold

MP: Steve Pound

Majority up to 19,693.

 

Ealing Southall

Labour Hold

MP: Virendra Sharma

A more modest swing to Labour here – 5.3%.

 

East Ham

Labour Hold

MP: Stephen Timms

Majority? A trifling 39,883. Biggest in town.

 

Edmonton

Labour Hold

MP: Kate Osamor

Labour vote up 10.1%.

 

Eltham

Labour Hold

MP: Clive Efford

The Tories fancied their chances here, with UKIP standing down. Instead, Labour vote share up 11.8% and majority to 6,296.

 

Enfield North

Labour Hold

MP: Joan Ryan

A resounding hold in a seat that was considered marginal. Ryan’s share rose by 14.3% and her majority was 10,247.

 

Enfield Southgate

LABOUR GAIN

MP: Bambos Charalambous

A sensational win. This wasn’t even on the radar for Labour.

 

Erith & Thamesmead

Labour Hold

MP: Teresa Pearce

UKIP share down 13.4%, Labour’s up 7.8%, Tories’ by 7.6%.

 

Feltham & Heston

Labour Hold

MP: Seema Malhotra

Interesting. UKIP vote down 9.7%, Labour’s up 8.9%, Tories’ up 2.7%.

 

Finchley & Golders Green

Conservative Hold

MP: Mike Freer

Labour crept closer but the swing was a relatively modest 4.1%, suggesting Jeremy Corbyn remains a big turn off for Jewish Londoners. 

 

Greenwich & Woolwich

Labour Hold

MP: Matthew Pennycook

Majority breaks the 20,000 barrier.

 

Hackney North & Stoke Newington

Labour Hold

MP: Diane Abbott

Just the 35,139 majority for the shadow Home Secretary.

 

Hackney South & Shoreditch

Labour Hold

MP Meg Hiller

A vast swing of 15.1% gives Hillier a 37,931 majority.

 

Hammersmith

Labour Hold

MP: Andy Slaughter

A few weeks ago, Slaughter feared that boundary changes would make this semi-marginal impossible to defend. He now has an 18,651 majority.

 

Hampstead & Kilburn

Labour Hold

MP: Tulip Siddiq

Siddiq’s seat was on a knife edge. She now has a majority of 15,560. 

 

Harrow East

Conservative Hold

MP: Bob Blackman

He’s down to 1,757, but he’s survived.

 

Harrow West

Labour Hold

MP: Gareth Thomas

He thought his fate would depend on how many “shy Tories” there were. There weren’t many. 

 

Hayes & Harlington

Labour Hold

MP: John McDonnell

Here, the UKIP share fell by 9.5% and Labour’s rose by 6.9%. The Tories’ only rose by 3.9%.

 

Hendon

Conservative Hold

MP: Matthew Offord

Mike Katz closed the gap for Labour, but Offord won by 1,072.

 

Holborn & St Pancras

Labour Hold

MP: Kier Starmer

The swing to Labour here was a huge 17.2%. the biggest fall was in the Green share, down by 9.4%.

 

Hornchurch & Upminster

Conservative Hold

MP: Julia Dockerill

No change in the winning party, but the MP is new. UKIP share down 19.1%, Tories’ up 11.2%.

 

Hornsey & Wood Green

Labour Hold

MP: Catherine West

The Lib Dems had hoped to win this back, but their vote share fell by 15.7%.

 

Ilford North

Labour Hold

MP: Wes Streeting

Another seat Labour seemed in danger of losing. They won it by 9,639 votes.

 

Ilford South

Labour Hold

MP: Mike Gapes

Just the regulation pro-Labour swing of 11.8%.

 

Islington North

Labour Hold

MP: Jeremy Corbyn

The leader won by 33,215.

 

Islington South & Finsbury

Labour Hold

MP: Emily Thornberry

Shadow foreign secretary just through the 30,000 mark.

 

Kensington

LABOUR GAIN

MP: Emma Dent Coad

A complete shock, except perhaps to YouGov. The Labour councillor has taken the seat by just 20 votes after a third recount.

 

Kingston & Surbiton

LIB DEM GAIN

MP: Ed Davey

Dumped in 2015, the former coalition minister is back with a majority of 4,124.

 

Lewisham Deptford

Labour Hold

MP: Vicky Foxcroft

Massive swing to Labour of 16.8%.

 

Lewisham East

Labour Hold

MP: Heidi Alexander

A comfortable 32,072.

 

Lewisham West & Penge

Labour Hold

MP: Ellie Reeves

Big swing of 16% towards newcomer MP, mostly from Greens and from UKIP it appears.

 

Leyton & Wanstead

Labour Hold

MP: John Cryer

Higher turnout seems to account for the 11.2% swing here.

 

Mitcham & Morden

Labour Hold

MP: Siobhain McDonagh

UKIP down 7.3%, Labour up 8%.

 

Old Bexley & Sidcup

Conservative Hold

MP: James Brokenshire

Tory vote went up 8.7% here.

 

Orpington

Conservative Hold

MP: Jo Johnson

Not much of a dent in the Tory armour in these parts.

 

Poplar & Limehouse

Labour Hold

MP: Jim Fitzpatrick

Not so long ago the Tories thought they had a chance here.

 

Putney

Conservative Hold

MP: Justine Greening

Labour won this in 1997 in the first Tony Blair landslide. They weren’t far off emulating that – just 1,554 votes short.

 

Richmond Park

CONSERVATIVE GAIN

MP: Zac Goldsmith

Zac is back – but by just 45 votes.

 

Romford

Conservative Hold

MP: Andrew Rosindell

Labour closed the gap a little, but here’s another seat where the UKIP vote may have swung behind both biggest parties roughly equally.

 

Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner

Conservative Hold

MP: Nick Hurd

Labour picked up by 10.9%, but the incumbent was never in danger.

 

Streatham

Labour Hold

MP: Chuka Umunna

A 15.5% swing to Labour, everyone else down.

 

Sutton & Cheam

Conservative Hold

MP: Paul Scully

The Tory incumbent pulled further ahead of the Lib Dem runner-up, which is a bit of a novelty.

 

Tooting

Labour Hold

MP: Rosena Allin-Khan

Tories have targeting this without success for three general elections and one by-election in a row. They will have overturn a 15,458 majority next time.

 

Tottenham

Labour Hold

MP: David Lammy

A 14.2% swing to Labour produces a 34,584 majority. 

 

Twickenham

LIB DEM GAIN

MP: Vince Cable.

A vast swing of 14.7% has restored the Lib Dem knight to his riverside throne.

 

Uxbridge & South Ruislip

Conservative Hold

MP: Boris Johnson

The majority of just over 5,000 isn’t all that big, you know.

 

Vauxhall

Labour Hold

MP: Kate Hoey

Lib Dem George Turner took a much improved 20% of the vote, but the Labour Brexiter’s scalp was not in danger.

 

Walthamstow

Labour Hold

MP: Stella Creasy

Regulation large surge takes Creasy to 32,017 majority.

 

West Ham

Labour Hold

MP: Lyn Brown

Newham is Labour’s mightiest stronghold, and this is one of it’s two seats. Majority: 36,754.

 

Westminster North

Labour Hold

MP: Karen Buck

On Saturday she couldn’t call it, but said doorstep response was warmer than for some time. Her majority has soared from less than 2,000 to 11,512.

 

Wimbledon

Conservative Hold

MP: Stephen Hammond

Tory majority: 5,622.

 

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