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Brexit uncertainty continues to damage London businesses, says Chamber of Commerce

Continuing uncertainty about Brexit has been damaging both the domestic and export sales of the capital’s businesses in the first quarter of 2019, according to the London Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

Findings from its latest quarterly survey of 500 of its members also show that business confidence indicators have fallen to their lowest level yet, with expectations for the London economy and the UK’s as a whole increasingly negative.

Domestic orders and domestic sales alike were down for more companies than they were up for the seventh consecutive quarter and the equivalent falls in export demand market the first time since the Chamber’s Capital 500 survey, conducted for it by ComRes, that both export figures have been negative.

There was an increase to 15 per cent in the proportion of companies seeking to recruit personnel compared with the previous quarter, but also a slightly larger rise, to 63 per cent, in the proportion encountering difficulties recruiting.

Skilled technical and manual roles were found to be the hardest to fill for the largest number of companies, followed by professional and managerial positions. There has also been a decrease in investment in plant and equipment.

Sean McKee, the Chamber’s director of policy and public affairs, said, “The figures for the first quarter of 2019 show the impact of Brexit uncertainty on London’s economy, with both domestic and export sales in negative territory.”

Highlighting companies’ recruitment difficulties, he added: “The importance of the right post-Brexit immigration system is abundantly clear, as is the need for certainty on the UK’s future trading relationship with the EU.”

Among recommendations from the Chamber to support London business are a greater devolution of powers to the capital, including over the use of taxes raised in London, and the start of an “ongoing dialogue” between businesses, national government and the London Mayor, with a view to encouraging exports.

There was also a warning that smaller businesses might find it difficult to upgrade to cleaner vehicles in time for the start of the Mayor’s Ultra Low Emission Zone in Central London next week and a call for “advisory” rather than “enforcement” notices to be served on vehicles that don’t comply with the new, higher air quality requirements in the early months.

 

Categories: News

Jamie Audsley: Sadiq Khan can do more to ensure London businesses provide decent work

Sadiq Khan came to office promising to be the “most pro-business Mayor ever” while at the same time emphasising the need to tackle inequalities such as low pay and the gender pay gap. In his manifesto section “sharing the rewards of prosperity” the Mayor pledged to:

  • Make London a Living Wage City.
  • Establish a team dedicated to economic fairness.
  • Create a new business compact based on exemplary standards in pay and employment rights for workers, which would also seek to expand opportunities for people with disabilities to work and gain skills.
  • Work to smash the glass ceiling.
  • Promote the uplift of London weighting.

These were pledges to be applauded, but radical steps are now needed to give them substance. With recent figures showing top executives earning 145 times more than the average worker and that almost 700,000 jobs in London (18 per cent) still pay below the London Living Wage, the Mayor can and must be bolder. He can push business to do more, especially where Londoners are suffering from irresponsible business practices. He can’t do it all on his own and he can’t legislate, but he can help Londoners get better at holding business to account.  

One thing that would help is an objective way to evaluate the contribution our largest employers make to London. Imagine if the Mayor published and ranked meaningful data on how the biggest companies contribute to our boroughs and communities. Such information would provide the transparency and accountability needed to bring pressure more effectively to bear on employers and help create the economy and communities London really wants to see. The Mayor, trade unions, councillors and vitally, Londoners as a whole, would be put more in charge of their relationship to capitalism, by being better able to understand how capital is contributing to, or indeed in many instances, exploiting people and place, be that at a time of growth or one of crisis or recession.

The Mayor has launched his business compact, entitled the Good Work Standard. He is now in a position to lead London by researching, ranking and recommending how the capital’s largest 500 firms (by numbers of employees) contribute to our city. Here’s what he should do now:

  1. Use the agreed definition of his Good Work Standard as a basis for developing a key set of research metrics.
  2. Engage companies in the approach to create good work and good employers more broadly
  3. Lets companies know they have one year before he will launch his first ranking.
  4. Undertake the ranking and publish it – using his platform to praise and call out as appropriate.
  5. Follow this up with a wider set of organising, campaigning and win-win approaches for employer and employee as the data is released.
  6. The Mayor and his team could lead this campaign (with others) to motivate all involved to create London as a place of Good Work, Good Employers.

If the Mayor now acts in this way it would be a significant, democratic and useful step to take. It could create a radical way forward for the common good of Londoners.

Jamie Audsley is a Labour councillor in Croydon. Image is from Mayor’s Good Work Standard document.

Categories: Comment

Transport for London lines up Grainger as latest housing delivery partner

Transport for London (TfL) has taken a further step towards meeting its target for getting new homes built on land it owns by announcing leading residential developer Grainger as its intended partner in a build-to-rent programme.

Eight sites across the capital will be developed under the arrangement once it is finalised, together yielding at least 3,000 new dwellings in all. TfL and Grainger say that on each site a minimum 40 per cent of the homes will meet Sadiq Khan’s definition of being “genuinely affordable”.

Around half of the total are expected to be built at the Limmo Peninsula as part of the wider, Crossrail-related regeneration of Canning Town and Custom House. The 3,000 homes will count toward’s TfL’s target of seeing 10,000 started on TfL land by 2021, with an overall 50 per cent being affordable. They will be delivered by means of a joint venture company, 49 per cent of which will be owned by TfL and 51 per cent by Grainger.

The first eight sites are expected to be:

  • Armourers Court, Woolwich (up to 400 homes).
  • Arnos Grove Underground station (up to 100).
  • Cockfosters Underground station (up to 300).
  • Hounslow West Underground station (up to 350).
  • Limmo Peninsula, Canning Town (up to 1,500).
  • Montford Place, Kennington (up to 100).
  • Nine Elms Undergound station (forthcoming; up to 400).
  • Southall sidings (up to 400).

Grainger is already collaborating with TfL over part of the Seven Sisters regeneration project, which will see land above the Underground station owned by the transport body transferred to Grainger as part of the redevelopment of the Ward’s Corner site following the government’s recommendation that Haringey Council’s compulsory purchase order relating to land in the area should go ahead.

In February, Grainger and Haringey conducted a topping out ceremony to mark the structural completion of another part of the Seven Sisters scheme, which will temporarily house the “Latin Village” indoor market prior its planned relocation back to the Wards Corner site following its redevelopment.

TfL already has joint venture partnerships with other commercial developers and housing associations to develop housing with a mixture of tenures at sites in Hillingdon, Waltham Forest, Southwark, Harrow, Greenwich and Kensington & Chelsea as well as the currently stalled Earls Court project. They are also working on schemes with Pocket Living and Apartments for London.

Build-to-rent homes are seen as likely to be delivered more quickly than some other types and as meeting an important, growing demand, as recognised and supported by business group London First. TfL has submitted planning applications for more than 4,200 homes so far and work has commenced on 300 of them. Of the consents secured since Sadiq Khan’s election in May 2016, 50 per cent of the homes have been “affordable”.

Image shows Grainger plans for the Southall sidings site.

 

 

 

 

Categories: News

The ‘warzone’ theory of London

Depictions of London as a place of bloody conflict, full of mob criminality, turf wars, violent subversion and demimonde enclaves into which the law’s long arm does not reach go back centuries. Such narratives, in which myth and reality often become hard to distinguish, can define people’s views of the city and reinforce hostile opinions about it. There’s been a lot of it in recent years. Terror attacks and increases in the amount and the viciousness of particular forms of street crime seem to have fuelled proliferating characterisations of London as a “warzone” pocked with “no go zones”. Portrayals of the UK capital as a fundamentally dangerous place contribute to a wider body of contemporary anti-London sentiment which, in turn, often seems to be an expression of wider national discontents.

What has fed this intensification? One obvious place to start would be the 2005 London bombings, commonly known as 7/7. Occurring the day after the city won its bid to host to 2012 Olympics, they shattered a mood of euphoric self-belief and brought home with sickening force that London is seen by jihadists as a suitable setting for atrocities. Another hot spot on the London “warzone” timeline is the 2011 London riots, whose spark was the shooting dead of a man by police in Tottenham. Those conflagrations occurred the year before the Olympics took place, an event which saw a very different version of London – welcoming, global, triumphantly cosmopolitan – come to the fore.

But accounts of the capital as a place of criminality and conflict had continued to be constructed and shared. Islamism provided further true life source material. In 2010, a London MP narrowly survived an assassination attempt by a Muslim constituent. In 2011, stickers and flyers appeared in parts of East London, proclaiming each one a “Shariah controlled zone”. In May 2013, two Muslim men savagely murdered an off duty British soldier on a street in Woolwich. And at the end of that year, three other men were jailed for harassing and physically attacking people in East London for holding hands in public, drinking alcohol or, in the case of a woman, dressing in a manner not to the liking of this so-called “Muslim Patrol”.

Not long after, when seeking to become the Republican presidential candidate, Donald Trump took up the theme. In late 2015, he said that even the police wouldn’t go into to some parts of the UK capital because they are “afraid for their own lives”. The London Mayor of that time, Boris Johnson, rubbished Trump’s remarks, accusing him of “a quite stupefying ignorance that makes him frankly unfit to hold the office of President of the United States”. He also said that there were some parts of New York he wouldn’t wish to visit due to the risk of encountering Trump. But the London Islamist “no go zone” storyline had crossed the Atlantic and was reaching a global audience.

In March 2017 came the Westminster Bridge terror attack. In June 2017 came the London Bridge attack. By then, Trump was in the White House. He responded by arguing that his case for preventing immigration from predominantly Muslim countries into the US was strengthened. In early 2018, he assured the visiting Theresa May that Islamic “no go zones” in London really do exist. That spring, he said in a speech that knife crime in London had become so bad that “a once very prestigious hospital right in the middle is like a war zone”. He seemed to be referring to the Royal London Hospital in Tower Hamlets, where many Muslim Londoners live. And in July he said in an interview prior to visiting the UK that Johnson’s successor as London Mayor, Sadiq Khan, had done “a terrible job” following the 2017 terror attacks.

Meanwhile, London’s problem with rising violent crime has spawned a long series of domestic warzone stories to trouble the nation, underlining beliefs that the capital is fundamentally unsafe. Gang crime, stabbings, acid attacks and moped thieves have formed intersecting, overlapping strands, told with the help of labels and maps. The BBC website has a “London violence” category. The Sun has run a “Lawless London” series. Big media and online freelancers alike have created a cartography of the capital’s street crime: a “chilling patchwork of more than 200 gangs waging war on London’s streets”; “London’s crime gangs at war” from Shepherds Bush to Thornton Heath; “acid attack hotspots” from Kentish Town to Elephant and Castle designated and marked; Holloway Road was named “Britain’s worst street for moped gang robberies”.

Those riots, those violent streets crimes, those terror attacks and even those attempts to impose religious laws on neighbourhoods were, of course, real.  There is no denying their seriousness or the gravity of their implications. Many Londoners are perturbed and upset by them. The Houses of Parliament and nearby bridges are protected by concrete blocks. Some young Londoners undoubtedly feel besieged within their neighbourhoods, fearful of venturing beyond them, or both. Some residents of high crime areas believe the police aren’t taking strong enough action. But none of this justifies calling London a “warzone”.

The city is not consumed by endemic internal strife like Belfast during the Troubles, and neither is it facing a mortal threat from outside, such as was posed by Nazi Germany. Nor are the few neighbourhoods in it that have been decreed “no go zones” any such things. The supposed “Shariah zones” amounted to a few fanatics putting up signs on lamp posts, which almost no one took the slightest notice of. The “Muslim patrol” comprised a handful of gobshites whose vigilantism didn’t catch on.

The areas London’s (often impermanent) criminal gangs exist in are mostly populated by law-abiding Londoners going about their normal business. The spate of flagrant, sometimes chillingly vicious street robberies involving mopeds, acid and other weaponry has damaged lives and caused anxiety, but the Holloway Road still teems with people.

Met commissioner Cressida Dick has called the increase and type of knife crime a “new phenomenon” largely rooted in changes in the illegal drug market and the savage competition among those seeking to profit from it, but has dismissed suggestions that the police dare not enter certain parts of London. President Trump is a mean minded, big headed, pig ignorant shit stirrer who doesn’t have the first idea what London is like.

The “warzone” theory of London and its “no go zone” correlative exploits and exacerbates real problems and genuine disquiet through a mix of ignorance, opportunism, reductionism, exaggeration and malign political motivation. Populists in the media and on the streets seize with glee upon portrayals of this profoundly multicultural city which assert that its law and order is collapsing and claim that alien, hostile forces have penetrated it, controlling and subjugating. They feel legitimised, vindicated, confirmed in their fears and prejudices. Why, even the city’s Mayor is Muslim – the “takeover” is that far advanced, the theory goes. Trump had nothing to say about the Finsbury Park attack which followed the London Bridge one, whose target was Muslim Londoners. A recent Twitter pronouncement by an English nationalist that “London is not in the UK, it is a war zone full of immigrants”, drew from the same well of bilge.

Such accounts of London as a place utterly gripped by fracture, disorder and peril form part of a larger, nativist Grand Narrative. The warzone theory seeks to deny and discredit the reality of a city in which an extraordinary array of different kinds of people peacefully co-exist, interact and benefit from doing so – a city that is, in fact, an everyday rebuttal to those who regard any such human society as inherently unstable, undesirable and unnatural and who cannot bear to acknowledge how wrong it shows them to be.

Image by Duncan Harris.

 

Categories: Analysis

Vic Keegan’s Lost London 84: The medieval tower of Lambeth

St Mary’s church in Lambeth was rebuilt by the Victorians, but its tower is a medieval gem that offers a breathtaking view of an unusual aspect of London. In its present form the tower dates from 1377, though it was founded as a wooden structure in 1062 by Countess Goda (or Godgifu), a sister of Edward the Confessor and daughter of King Ethelred. While Edward was building Westminster Abbey on the other side of the Thames, Goda was constructing St Mary’s. Apart from the crypt of Lambeth Palace, it is the oldest structure in Lambeth and one of the oldest buildings in all of London. 

The church used to be intimately linked with neighbouring Lambeth Palace, with which it still shares a wall (see picture below). This may help explain why among the 26,000 people buried in and around the church there are six and a bit archbishops of Canterbury (don’t ask). It has been been known for ages that they were there, but it was only recently, when builders unexpectedly came across an underground cavern, that five of the actual coffins were found, one of them with a gold mitre on top.

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The tower (right) almost glued to Lambeth Palace (left)

For a small fee you can climb a stone spiral staircase to reach the top of the tower from where a spectacular panorama takes in parliament and Westminster Abbey on one side and the the garden and buildings of Lambeth Palace on the other. It was almost certainly from here that be great engraver Wenceslas Hollar drew his Prospect of London and Westminster in 1647, though he used some artistic license in placing the tower of St Mary’s a good 50 yards in front of the position from where he was drawing. 

Also buried or commemorated here are Countess Goda herself; Hardicanute, the last Viking King of England, who died in Lambeth in 1042 while standing up and drinking at a wedding; Thomas Howard, the 2nd Duke of Norfolk (born 1443), grandfather to Queens Katherine Howard and Anne Boleyn; and Sir Arthur Sullivan (1842-1900), who composed light operas with William Gilbert, who was baptised there. 

It is also the resting place of Elias Ashmole (died 1692), who moved into the “Ark” created by the Tradescant gardening family, whose members are buried there too. The Ark contained all the plants and artefacts they had collected on their voyages. Ashmole transported them in controversial circumstances to Oxford in order to found the Ashmolean Museum. Also resting at St Mary’s is the astrologer Simon Forman, a contemporary of Shakespeare who was consulted by many prominent people of the time. 

Read all Vic Keegan’s previous Lost London pieces here.

Categories: Culture, Lost London

Sutton: Lib Dems hold Wallington North council seat despite burning local issue

The A232 road is one of London’s more important but less celebrated thoroughfares. It trundles along near the southern edge of the metropolis, linking a string of suburbs – Ewell, Cheam, Sutton, Carshalton, Wallington, Croydon, Orpington – like an underpowered version of the southern stretch of the M25. Wallington, like many of the other suburbs on this road, is mostly owner-occupied territory, much of it developed in the inter-war period. Architecturally, it is a classic stretch of London suburbia, a mix of semi-detached houses, small blocks of flats and a few older terraces.

However, the politics of the suburbs along the A232 has not been so typical. The London Borough of Sutton has been under Liberal Democrat control since 1990, and in 1997 the party gained the borough’s two parliamentary constituencies. The Conservatives took back Sutton & Cheam in 2015, but the party’s hold on Carshalton & Wallington, the eastern half of the borough, has endured – Tom Brake was the party’s sole London MP during the 2015-17 parliament.

In contrast to Richmond and Kingston, the other London boroughs Lib Dems currently control, the formula for Lib Dem success in Sutton has not been based on a demographic foundation of highly educated liberal professional voters. Partly, it has been due to happenstance – a by-election back in 1972 started it all – but mostly it has been achieved by dedicated pavement-pounding and keeping close to local issues that interest residents.

The 2018 borough elections produced fairly good results for the Lib Dems in most of Sutton. There were some losses to the Conservatives, but that was to be expected given that the 2014 elections had been a landslide and local and national issues had become less helpful (Sutton was one of the five Leave-voting London boroughs in 2016).

Wallington North has been one of the most loyal Lib Dem wards in Sutton ever since the party gained all three seats there in 1994. The majorities have not always been large and the leading Conservative candidate has got within 200 votes of the third-placed Lib Dem on several occasions, but its final allegiance has been consistent. A by-election was held there yesterday (28 March 2019) because Joyce Melican, who had represented Wallington North since 2010, suffered a stroke and understandably resigned her council seat in February. It was contested by the three main parties plus the Greens, UKIP, the Christian People’s Alliance and an Independent. The Independent is the interesting bit of the story.

There are several sorts of public amenity with the power to rile up electors and change the patterns of local politics. For instance, closing a swimming pool is something a council does at its peril. And it is also worth thinking seriously about where to site an incinerator. People don’t like the idea of a factory burning rubbish on their doorstep, no matter what assurances the council and the management can offer. In Sutton, that prize was awarded  to Beddington North ward, which is just to the east of Wallington North. The decision cost the Lib Dems all three seats there, beginning with a sitting councillor leaving the party over the issue. He and two fellow Independents won a clean sweep in Beddington North last year.

The issue has been around for a while, but its fires are still burning and they spread a little into Wallington North during the by-election. The Independent candidate Gervais Sawyer, is a retired wood-working professional (and example of nominative determinism) and a former Lib Dem, who, whilst a member of the party, signed the nomination papers for one of the Beddington Independents. But the incinerator factor was not enough, as Lib Dem candidate Barry Lewis, a local scout leader, continued the party’s long run of success in the ward.

At first glance it was a mediocre sort of result for the Lib Dems, with a swing of four per cent to the Conservatives, but there were a couple of mitigating factors. One was that the Tory share of the vote was scarcely higher than in 2018 and it was Sawyer who made the modest inroads into the Lib Dem margin, and finished third. The other is that the Lib Dems did particularly well in the ward in 2018, so the outcome is really a reversion to the normal run of things.

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So, despite another big week in British politics we had another London by-election which obeyed the old rules of electoral behaviour. The Lib Dems won in a ward where they are well organised and dug-in, and lost some votes to a candidate who was able to capitalise on a hot-button local issue. When, one wonders, is the big earthquake going to happen in local electoral politics in the capital? Is it ever?
Categories: Analysis

Will Sadiq let the Tulip sprout?

Will the Tulip ever take root in EC3?  The controversial 305 metre visitor attraction designed by Foster and Partners looks set to pass its first hurdle next week, with planners recommending approval to the City of London Corporation planning committee on 2 April 2. But doing will put it on collision course with Sadiq Khan.

Adjacent to the Gherkin in Bury Street in the heart of the Square Mile, the structure would be the tallest in the City and just five metres shorter than London’s tallest building, the Shard at London Bridge. Its slender concrete stem would be topped by 12 storeys of viewing platforms, restaurants, a bar and an education centre, with gondola pods offering rides around its facade.

The planners’ report concludes that the benefits of the proposal for tourism and education outweigh its negative impact particularly on the setting and significance of the Tower of London World Heritage Site. Revised plans following initial criticism will see provision for 40,000 London “state school” children to visit free of charge every year, and the Tulip would attract 1.2 million visitors annually, boosting London’s economy by almost £1 billion by 2045 and complementing the Corporation’s “Culture Mile” and 24/7 City aspirations.

Permission next week would come in the face of opposition from Historic England, Tower of London managers Historic Royal Palaces and, crucially, the London Mayor, whose powers enable him to direct the Corporation to reverse its decision or to take over the application process himself. City Hall has previously described the height of the structure as “unjustified” and its “solid and inactive building frontage” as “incongruous”. And Khan’s planners also condemned its lack of “free to enter publicly accessible viewing areas”.

City Corporation planners encourage free to enter roof spaces in tall buildings, and claim significant success, including Sky Garden at the “Walkie Talkie” and the recently opened Garden at 120 in Fenchurch Street, as well as the less elevated terrace at the One New Change centre overlooking St Paul’s Cathedral.. Tall buildings in the pipeline in Bishopsgate, Leadenhall Street and at 1 Undershaft all include free public roof space, and the Corporation’s new draft local plan, City Plan 2036, requires publicly accessible, free to enter areas at upper levels in all new tall building proposals.

The Corporation’s argument that the Tulip’s educational provision meets free public access requirements is a major point of contention for City Hall. GLA representations describe the proposal’s public benefits as falling “substantially short of anything appropriate” and insufficient to outweigh harm to the setting of the Tower of London.

Will Khan’s arguments for free access hold up at what seems likely to be an inevitable public planning inquiry, given that the fundamental raison d’etre of the Tulip is as a paid-for visitor attraction?

The argument that London, with one in seven jobs dependent on tourism, needs to continually renew its visitor offer remains strong. This was put forcefully by New London Architecture chair Peter Murray when the Tulip plans were first unveiled: “If London is to keep its place at the top of the league of most visited global cities, particularly in a post-Brexit world, new attractions such as the Tulip are going to be vital for the capital’s culture and economy.”

Nevertheless, under direction not only from Mayor Khan but from the City Corporation as well, the balance between private and public spaces is shifting. Will the Tulip end up on the right side of the argument?

Categories: Culture

Elephant & Castle shopping centre traders accept relocation offers

A majority of the businesses based at the Elephant and Castle shopping centre, which faces demolition under a redevelopment scheme, are to move into alternative local premises from which to continue trading, according to Southwark Council.

Southwark announced last week that 36 local traders had been “offered the opportunity to move into new affordable space just metres away from their current location” and has now told On London that the offers have been accepted. The council adds that a further 28 businesses have so far yet to successfully sort out a move, but that work towards finding solutions for them will continue.

The process has been criticised by activist organisation Latin Elephant, which claimed last week that “over 40 small independent businesses” have been “left out” of it and that “dozens of traders reacted with complete shock and dismay” about its outcomes at that point. Many of the businesses are run by Latin American Londoners, reflecting a significant part of the local population.

Local campaign group 35 percent, which is working on a legal challenge over the amount of social housing currently planned for the new scheme, says the council and developer Delancey had been told by traders that “there would not be enough space to relocate them all adequately”, and called for an increase in the funding of the relocation programme.

Part of the disagreement appears to stem from varying counts and definitions of local businesses that need and are entitled to assistance. A report on the scheme produced by planning officers of the Greater London Authority in December 2018 says the redevelopment area contained 65 retail tenants at the time and 18 businesses leasing office space. It noted that the new shopping centre would lack sufficient space to accommodate all the current centre’s traders when it is built, but that Southwark had a “supply pipeline of affordable workspace” in the immediate area.

City Hall gave Southwark a green light to proceed with implementing the plans. Local business advisers, Tree Shepherd, commissioned and overseen by the council, has been working with businesses lying within the “red line boundary” of the development site since August 2017.

The 36 businesses to take up their relocation offers so far will move to “affordable” retail units in three buildings close by, including a forthcoming new “retail hub”. Kieron Williams, Southwark’s cabinet member for jobs, skills and innovation, said it is is priority to find new locations to the liking of businesses yet to secure them and that “we’ll be keeping the pressure on Delancey to deliver against its responsibilities to traders”.

The shopping centre regeneration provides a good case study of the debate about “good growth” under Sadiq Khan’s mayoralty. Read more about that here.

 

Categories: News