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Talk About London Podcast: V&A, Olympic Park and the importance of culture

Traveling east to visit family yesterday afternoon, I made sure my route took me past the newly-opened V&A East Museum on the Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park – hence the photo above – which had just opened to the public. I didn’t have time to go in, but I’ll be making time very soon.

It was a real pleasure to walk along Tessa Jowell Boulevarde in the sunshine and enjoy seeing the latest piece of the Stratford waterfront terrace of the East Bank culture and education terrace to come to fruition.

To find out more about the new museum and the V&A East Storehouse, also on the Olympic Park, which opened at the start of last summer, enjoy this recent Talk About London podcast, in which Leanne Tritton, chair of The London Society, and I talk to Tim Reeve, deputy director and chief operating officer of the V&A, about both of this fine projects, and more.

More Talk About London podcasts can be found on my YouTube channel, along with my separate True London series. All London Society podcasts can be found here.

OnLondon.co.uk is funded by sales of publisher and editor Dave Hill’s twice-weekly newsletter On London Extra. To start receiving it, become a paying subscriber to Dave’s personal Substack. Thanks.

Categories: Culture

Talk About London Podcast: London’s looming local government earthquake

Professor Tony Travers CBE of the London School of Economics has been the number one authority on all matters of London government for many years. Doctor Nick Bowes, currently MD Insight and Public Affairs with LCA, was previously chief executive of Centre for London, Sir Sadiq Khan’s director of policy at City Hall and before all that a councillor in Wandsworth.

I and my co-host Leanne Tritton, chair of The London Society, were very pleased to welcome them as our latest Talk About London podcast guests. We explored lots of this year’s particularly treacherous borough elections landscape – how bad will it be for Labour, how high will the Green tide rise, how much territory will Reform UK invade?

We considered the possibility of novice politicians suddenly finding themselves in very senior positions in councils that serve populations larger than those of many entire English cities.

We anticipated perhaps as many as around a dozen boroughs ending up under No Overall Control after 7 May and what the implications of that could be for the efficient and effective running of council affairs.

And we reflected on the paradox that while voters in general have a better opinion of their local councillors than they do over other politicians on the whole, many will cast their votes according to how they feel about the national parties and the national government. Make yourself a nice relaxing drink, forget whatever else you are doing and watch it all.

You can listen to previous Talk About London podcasts here and watch them, along with my separate True London series, here.

OnLondon.co.uk is funded by sales of publisher and editor Dave Hill’s twice-weekly newsletter On London Extra. To start receiving it, become a paying subscriber to Dave’s personal Substack. Thanks.

Categories: Analysis

Jack Brown: ‘The London Problem’ – an update

This article has been adapted from a lecture recently given by Dr Brown as part of the Associateship of King’s College‘s “London Unfolding” series.

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London is my home and it has been so all of my life. Recently, it feels as though it has been under attack. As a patriotic Londoner – not an oxymoron in my view – I can’t help but take some of these attacks a little personally. But there is also a tremendous gap between the London I am seeing described and the city I know. It seems like a good time to revisit “The London Problem”.

When I wrote about it in 2019 for think tank Centre for London and again in book form in 2021, the issue was that despite all of its successes – and there are many – there was a growing sense of dissatisfaction with the capital in parts of the rest of the nation. This was intensifying in national and local discourse alike. There were several reasons for this. Many were entirely understandable, and I will explore them in some more detail below. But many (not all) were based on false assumptions and prejudices. It is worth unpacking those as we go.

However, since the book’s publication, another wave of anti-London sentiment has crashed, largely through our computer screens, causing further chaos and disruption. Anti-Londonism has gone international and taken a darker turn. This makes the “problem” an even more knotty one.

Before we get into all that, let me lay out the current reality of our capital city, and why I am so proud to be a lifelong Londoner. 

THE CASE FOR LONDON

London is an incredibly complex, dynamic place with many flaws and challenges, but at its heart it is one of the greatest and most competitive cities in the world. Its history as a centre of trade and commerce goes back to Roman times. Whilst it has been destroyed, reshaped, fallen and risen repeatedly across hundreds of years, it has endured remarkably.

Such was its draw, that even the very real risk of catching the plague or having your house burned down was not enough to deter people from coming to the medieval city. By the 1800s, it became the largest city the world had ever seen. The years following the Second World War saw population decline, but growth returned from the mid-1980s and London began to thrive once more.

By 1992, the sociologist Saskia Sassen identified London as one of the world’s premier “global cities”, in her influential work of the same name. Once an “imperial city”, the heart of the British Empire and a centre of trade in goods, London adapted remarkably to become a centre of a new type of globalised economy.

With this specialisation came a need for – and attractiveness to – a high-skilled and highly-mobile international workforce. Global cities compete for workers, talent and dominance. Their success generates a tremendous amount to their national economies in taxation, which can be spent on their continued improvement as well as redistribution. This does not happen automatically, and there are many challenges too, but it is fair to say that there are very few truly global cities in the world. London is one of them.

Not only is it one of them, but it is arguably the global city.

Loughborough University’s Globalisation and World Cities project identified London as one of just two “Alpha + +” cities in the world, alongside (but ahead of) New York. The project looks at “corporate globalisation”, or flows of what are termed “advanced producer services” between global cities. That is just one, largely economic, measure of city competitiveness, but in a competitive field, London comes top.

The Mori Foundation in Japan produces similar rankings, but across a much wider range of measures. This more multifaceted approach to ranking cities still sees London emerge top. It comes second on economic and research and development measures to New York, but first for cultural interaction and accessibility and ranks significantly higher than NYC on liveability and environment measures. Overall, it is judged the best city in the world.

On that note, Resonance Consultancies/IPSOS’s Best Cities project attempted something similar, with survey data from 21,000 people across 31 countries combined with “hard” data from air quality to labour market participation. Again, London comes top.

All of these indices are subjective. Choices are made about what to include and exclude, and not everything that makes a city great can be measured on a graph. In fact, there is a reasonable argument that most of the things that we value the most – joy, safety, love, fun – cannot be accurately measured. Sometimes they even clash with economic growth or affordability. But these measures reflect a wider truth – that London, whilst not without its flaws, is simply one of the greatest cities in the world, and this is recognised across the globe.

London’s appeal as a tourist destination is also huge, offering yet more evidence that it might actually be quite a successful place. In 2025, London won Tripadvisor’s ‘Traveller’s Choice’ award. High and low skilled people choose to come here to work and live, and highly mobile tourists choose to visit. In an increasingly interconnected and mobile world, London is a magnet.

And not only does London hold a world-class appeal as a place to live, work and stay, but its status as such generates a huge amount for the national economy. In fact, London and its surrounding regions effectively fund the nation. This is not by design, and the nation’s disproportionate reliance on London’s economy is not ideal for capital or country. Everyone would like the UK’s second cities to have stronger economies, and no one wants former industrial towns and seaside communities to decline.

I would strongly argue that London’s success is not the cause of decline elsewhere. Regardless, it is clear that if the UK were to lose its globally-competitive capital city overnight, whether by London seceding from the UK, or being cut out and floated off down the Thames towards Europe, the UK would be a poorer place. In fact, it would soon be bankrupt. As things stand, taxes raised in London and its surrounding regions fund public services across the country. The opposite is not true.

So, London is a world-leading economic miracle with a global pull that is also contributing an oversized amount to the UK’s national economy. It is also getting safer. Fraser Nelson of The Times has done sterling work pulling together the best possible available crime statistics, alongside hospital statistics, to see where London’s knife crime and murder rate are currently at. We’ll talk more about his reasons for doing this in a minute, but the headline here is “rates are going down”. London’s murder rate is better than that of most of its global comparators, and things are only improving. Of course, one murder is too many. But we are looking here at whether knife crime and murder rates are getting better or worse here – and the answer is, objectively and fairly, unequivocably better.

Clap your hands and celebrate, right? Apparently not.

 

THE RECENT CASE AGAINST LONDON

London’s success seems to lead to an almost inversely-proportionate intensity of hatred. I have decided not to single out any particular British London haters. There certainly are some particularly bad offenders across our politics, but it would also be fair to say that both left and right wing strains of anti-Londonism exist, even if they differ in form, frequency and ferocity.

I have instead decided to highlight just a few of the complaints of one of the most powerful men in the world, as they summarise some of the key arguments. Donald Trump is perhaps the most social media-savvy US President to date. He has made a series of claims about the capital which overlap quite strongly with some of the key anti-London themes we see across social media, with an added dimension of personal vitriol against London’s three-time elected Mayor, Sir Sadiq Khan.

The core claims, made between 2018 and 2025, are about violent crime – which is apparently out of control in the capital – the implementation of Sharia Law, and the existence of “no-go” areas, into which the Metropolitan Police are afraid to step. Everyone is entitled to their opinion, but none of these things are true.

Yet as my King’s colleague Dr Mark Hill has observed, the number of social media posts portraying London as dangerous has risen significantly – and at a time when most measures of violent crime are on the decline. London has real problems with phone-snatching and shoplifting and briefly had one with the robbery of luxury watches (although this was clamped down on with some success). It is remarkable that knife crime and murder are declining in London, yet a narrative that violent crime is doing the opposite is growing in strength.

There are unusual and particular reasons for this current wave of anti-London sentiment. Trump has a personal animosity towards our Mayor, for reasons only he truly knows. Elsewhere, social media companies and algorithms are creating a false sense of reality for their users by repeatedly and relentlessly funnelling extreme content towards them.

Bots and other nefarious actors, including nations and groups that wish us harm, are actively stoking this trend even further, attempting to harm London’s reputation and undermine both capital and country. And when some crime is indeed up, people are willing to believe that serious violence is too – or that places they have never visited are indeed “no-go” areas.

Readers of Jim Waterson’s London Centric recently reported encountering examples of this kind of anti-Londonism from people living as far afield as Australia, Los Angeles, Dubai and even the remote Suriname Amazon. Concerns tended to echo those mentioned by Trump above. None of this sentiment was based on personal experience, or even mainstream news, but rather social media impressions. This new age of global anti-Londonism is particularly pernicious, and difficult to counter. But in one sense, hating on London is nothing new.

 

A BRIEF HISTORY OF ANTI-LONDONISM

The long history of anti-Londonism in this country predates social media, the internet and even the printing press. To attempt to distinguish between its novel and perennial elements, we must take a whistle-stop tour through this history of what a previous Mayor of London, Boris Johnson, called “London-o-phobia”.

Roman Londinium was founded somewhere around 54AD, and I’m sure there was plenty of anti-Londonism around at the time – Queen Boudica springs to mind. But we don’t have all day, so let’s start in 1593, when Queen Elizabeth I passed an Act of Parliament, attempting to constrain London’s growth by imposing an early form of Green Belt around it.

In the early 1600s, James I proclaimed, with some sadness, that “Soon, London will be all England”. London was growing, as ever more people were drawn to it, despite the enhanced risk of death and disease that living in the city then brought. These dangers did not deter those seeking the benefits of life in close proximity to increasingly large numbers of people with different skills and ideas. Despite its drawbacks, they kept coming, seeking not only the cold, hard economic opportunities created by what economists call agglomeration benefits, but fun, fame and fortune, friendship, frolicking and fornication.

But London’s popularity was also driving increasing concern that its expansion would eat up the countryside, dominate national life and corrupt England’s green and pleasant land with something much more sinister – the city. It was in the 1820s, during the century in which London’s population boomed, that the radical pamphleteer William Cobbett described London as “the Great Wen”. A Wen, for those not familiar with this outdated terminology, was a sebaceous cyst, in this case, a puss-filled urban growth on the face of an otherwise beautiful country. Cobbett’s primary concern was for the preservation of the countryside, but his anti-London successors added other elements.

By the 20th Century, London’s growth was considered a problem for numerous reasons. Industry was deemed too concentrated in large towns and cities in the South and the Midlands, leading to congestion and pollution as well as draining opportunity and talent from the rest of the country. The capital was too powerful a magnet, attracting talented people and resources away from the regions, not only causing the capital to overheat but also leaving the rest of the nation to decline.

This idea, which survives in more contemporary political discourse, directly connects London’s success to decline elsewhere – in my view, a misunderstanding. Regional economic growth and opportunity is not a zero sum game – there is not a finite amount that must be shared around. In recent years, Manchester’s growth rate has outstripped that seen in the capital, yet London has survived.

And London competes on the world, not the domestic, stage. The business links and people it seeks are simply different from those sought elsewhere in the country. But given that London dwarfs England’s second cities by an order of magnitude, in terms of its population size, its economy and its continuous built-up area, you can understand why some may assume that its growth or success are directly linked to the relative underperformance of other parts of the UK.

Wartime added another element, in that concentrated areas of population and industry became targets for bombing – a weak point in Britain’s ability to defend itself. A growing Garden City movement, which looked upon dirty, overcrowded and increasingly polluted cities and envisaged leafy new planned settlements elsewhere as the solution, also gained traction.

The postwar years saw government build New Towns outside of London, actively encouraging Londoners to move out. It used a series of carrots and sticks to incentivise business to locate itself away from the capital. After more than a century of growth, London’s population declined, as did the economic gap between the capital and other UK regions. But this gap was closed primarily by “levelling down” London, rather than by “levelling up” any other region.

Under Margaret Thatcher’s government, this actively anti-London regional policy was (largely) abandoned. Population growth returned to the capital from around 1986 – I played my own small role in this by being born at the Whittington Hospital in Islington in that year – and growth in London and the South East returned once more. The gap between London’s economy and the UK average continued to grow, with all the good and bad that it entails.

London’s success seemed unstoppable. Remarkably, when plotted on a graph, the Global Financial Crash of 2008/9 caused little more than a short blip in this pattern, before the gap began to open up once more. But the crash arrived on UK shores via a globalised financial services industry which in the UK is overwhelmingly concentrated in the capital, and particularly in the City of London.

Ensuring that the wider economy did not collapse involved some pro-banking (and pro-banker) policies, which generated understandable resentment. Arriving in close proximity to the scandal over MPs’ expenses, one of several moments that has seen an anti-politician sentiment grow in the UK, London’s status as home of the highest concentration of bankers and national politicians surely damaged its reputation somewhat. Bad feeling was growing.

Another point is important here. Whilst it is true that London now contributes significantly more than it takes out of the national purse – and is highly unusual and almost alone in doing so – both figures are high. London’s economic miracle has been supported by investment in its infrastructure. Public services are also more expensive to deliver in the capital for several reasons, and this accounts for some of London’s high spending figures. But it is extremely reasonable to gaze on London’s international-level public transport network, for example, and to say – well, why doesn’t Leeds even have a tram yet? Why should London get everything, when it already has so much?

Finally, there is a perception gap. At Centre for London, we did some polling, asking people living elsewhere in Great Britain how much they thought London contributed to the national economy. Over three quarters said it contributed “a lot” or “a fair amount”. However, when we asked how much they felt it contributed to the place in which they lived, this figure dropped to 16 per cent.

It would be easy – and arguably accurate – to say that this is contradictory, another example of people simply not understanding the very complex way in which the national economy works. But again, it is a very understandable response. If your local area feels run down or in decline – and this is of course true of some places and not others, but bear with me – the contribution of parts of London’s economy to funding local public services feels like an abstract thing.

So there is a history of some resentment, some bad associations, a growing economic gap, and a perception gap. And the gap has become so notable that post-Thatcher governments – including even the recent Conservative governments, from 2010-24 – began to talk about using policy to close it.

David Cameron and George Osborne talked about “rebalancing” and focused on the Northern Powerhouse and Midlands Engine. Theresa May’s government developed an Industrial Strategy. Boris Johnson made “levelling up” the nation’s regions a central plank of his platform. The manifesto of the current Labour government committed to “building a stronger economy in all parts of the country”, pledged to address health inequalities between regions and proposed transport improvement for the North of England. In British politics, this amounts to a broad, relatively enduring and bipartisan consensus – there is a “problem” to be remedied here,  if not an agreed solution.

 

BEING ‘DIFFERENT’

But in amongst this swirl of rapidly changing policies and plans, we had a referendum. We can debate endlessly whether the EU referendum of 2016 and its results were a cause or an effect of regional discontent, or about something else entirely, but there was a clear spatial aspect to whether places voted to Leave or Remain. Broadly speaking, with a couple of notable exceptions, it was the big cities, along with Scotland, parts of Northern Ireland and Gibraltar, that supported Remain and were on the losing side.

London, having the largest concentration of Remain voters due its sheer scale as well as its demographics, stood out in some eyes as symbolic of an out-of-touch elite with views that clashed with those in the rest of the country. In fact, there were more Leave voters in London than in the entire North East, and even the most Remain-voting constituencies in London still saw one in five voters go for Leave. Even so, the outcome fuelled an existing sense that London was not only different but also alien.

In 1777, Dr Samuel Johnson provided a quotation as wonderful as it is over-used: “Why, Sir, you find no man, at all intellectual, who is willing to leave London. No, Sir, when a man is tired of London, he is tired of life; for there is in London all that life can afford.” A mere 242 years later, prime ministerial adviser Dominic Cummings told reporters to “get out of London” to talk to some people who “are not rich Remainers”.

Johnson’s quote shows us London being celebrated as the most incredible compendium of all the glories, achievements and delights of human existence, a place to find all the greatest ideas, experiences, goods and people in the world, expand your mind and delight your soul with all that life has to offer. And the diversity of London’s offering has increased immeasurably since the 18th Century.

Cummings’s remarks touched on a different view. I am sure it has existed for as long as Johnson’s, but I would argue that it has increased in prominence in recent decades. Here, London is seen as out of touch, full of people who don’t understand the “real” world and concerns of ordinary citizens, dominated by liberal elites and oligarchs but no “real people” – presumably the sort who voted to Leave the EU. The capital’s diversity and complexity are seen as a hinderance rather than an asset. Its intellectual and material riches are seen as keeping its elites from reality. Get out of London, the argument goes, it is an echo chamber, disconnected and distorted.

This attitude speaks to a reality. London voted to Remain overall, so it does have a lot of Remain voters, and most of the UK’s millionaires and billionaires live here. Parts of its economy are extremely successful. And power resides here: London is home to national politics, the monarchy, the largest concentration of bankers, much of our national media, and a great deal of our national cultural life.

But 1.5 million Londoners voted to Leave the EU (a larger number than the national winning margin for Leave). And whilst some parts of the capital are particularly affluent, there is also huge poverty here. In fact, London’s out-of-control housing costs mean that poverty rates in the capital are higher than any other English region. Inequality is higher in the capital than elsewhere. This is, in part, due to the distorting effects of the most successful parts of the capital’s economy, but far from exclusively so.

So London is not a place dominated exclusively (or even in majority) by “rich Remainers”. Exposure to too many “liberal elite” dinner parties can create a distorted view of our nation’s capital, leaving an individual with the impression that everyone in London thinks the same, just as watching too many videos of street crime online can make you think that it is happening everywhere, all the time. Invitation or disinvitation to elite dinner parties has a lot to answer for in turning otherwise reasonable people into rabid anti-Londonites, in my view.

One other thing has changed significantly over the years between the observations of Johnson and Cummings. It is often said that London has always been a diverse and multicultural city. This is not inaccurate, but neither is it entirely true. As a port city founded on trade, London has long been more diverse than the nation at large. French Hugenots arrived, fleeing religious persecution and settling in Spitalfields and Soho between the 16th and the 18th Century. Eastern European and Russian Jews arrived in the 19th Century, settling in the East End. These are particularly prominent examples and moments, but London continually had people arriving from elsewhere in the country and elsewhere in the world, and settling for the long or short term.

However, the numbers were relatively tiny until fairly recently. It wasn’t until the decades following the Second World War that London began to become truly diverse in its population, in terms of national origin and birthplace, and, connectedly, ethnicity and religion. In 1901, less than five percent of Inner London residents were born overseas. In 1951, this figure was still under 10 percent. By 2011, it was around 40 percent. Londoners born in Ireland were not initially counted as born “overseas” which makes a difference to the figures, but not enough to fundamentally change this remarkable fact. The most recent census found 40.6 percent of all Londoners (not just those in “Inner London”) were born overseas. And, of course, many of those Londoners born in the capital in recent years are the children, grandchildren and great grandchildren of migrants.

So the scale of demographic change is tremendous. I should say that I have focused on the percentage born overseas rather than ethnicity, religion or any other demographic measure for two reasons: firstly, ethnicity measures and categories have not always been a feature of the Census, and definitions and methodologies have changed over time. More importantly, I think a focus on the percentage of Londoners reporting themselves “White British” or otherwise is at best irrelevant – polling evidence shows that the vast majority of Brits believe that people of any ethnicity can be British, so why would it matter? – and in some cases is used for sinister reasons. In other words, I am not an ethno-nationalist, and I am quite content with that, thank you.

But none of this is to deny the pace of change here. It is remarkable and notable. What is clearly true is that London’s diversity has exploded over the course of just one long lifetime. A 75-year-old Londoner who was born in the city will have known a population that looked and surely sounded very different from today’s.

How exactly this weaves into anti-Londonism can be a difficult area to analyse. Discerning whether discomfort with, or hostility to, a diverse population is the primary motivation for someone expressing their distaste at our nation’s capital often involves attempting to see inside someone’s heart (although not always, as increasing numbers seem comfortable saying that this exactly why they don’t like London, and doing so explicitly and loudly). To say that London’s rapidly-changing demographics have played no part in a wider sense that London is “different” from the rest of the country, even amongst those who do not cite this as a primary reason, seems far-fetched.

It is important to acknowledge that Londoners tend to agree that people from different backgrounds get on well together in the capital. Polling from the Policy Institute at King’s Colleg in 2019 showed how much more at ease with immigration and community cohesion Londoners are than Parisians. But that doesn’t go for all Londoners and  certainly not all Brits.

 

SO WHAT?

So this is the “London Problem”. It has long been seen as too big, too busy, too dirty, too dominant, too disconnected. And in recent decades, too expensive, too different and too diverse. In recent years, it has been portrayed by some as lawless, and by others as the epicentre of the downfall of Western Civilisation.

My take is a little different. London is not without its problems. I do not deny its rapid demographic change or the real challenges that this brings. Community cohesion is imperfect and requires constant work. Events overseas can explode into tensions at home. One community’s attitudes or expectations can and do clash with another. Offence can be, and often is, taken. Just by way of example, Londoners are more socially conservative, on average, than their counterparts in the rest of the country, but London is also the LGBTQ capital of the UK. Balancing true diversity so that all are free and able to live to their full potential in relative harmony is not automatic and it is not easy.

London’s economy is also flawed. The proceeds of its most successful parts are not shared equally, and our disproportionate over-reliance on certain industries is a clear risk for the national economy too. Housing costs are a key driver of London’s poverty, and the quality of housing at the bottom end is a huge issue in and of itself. London’s success and appeal as a place to live, coupled with a failure to build and increase the supply of homes at anywhere near the level needed to meet demand, has made the capital an increasingly unaffordable place to live. And, like any big city, London is crowded and can be dirty and congested. Huge progress in recent years on air quality has not eradicated the problem entirely. Crime continues to exist.

London’s affordability and, to some extent, its liveability, would be eased by sharing some of the burden with the UK’s other big cities. It is in no one’s interest that the gap continues to grow between London and the rest. “London-centrism” in policymaking definitely exists, and London’s past success can become self-reinforcing when it comes to making decisions about future investment.

Successive attempts to “rebalance” the national economy have failed, except by harming the capital. But the economic gap is not a simple result of deliberate favouritism. London’s success has been its capacity to adapt and thrive as a “world city”, and no other UK city, town or region is quite the same. There is no finite pot of growth, and other parts of the country can and should be assisted and celebrated. The relative underperformance of the UK’s “second cities” is an issue, even if it is not a direct consequence of London’s success.

However, we need to acknowledge that these difficulties do not add up to a case against the capital. Alongside a tendency towards nostalgia for a largely imagined immaculate past, we Brits seem to be developing what I feel is an inherently un-British intolerance for the hard graft of making things gradually better, working through problems, improving and tolerating, compromising and listening. Instead, we are acquiring a taste for calling for smashing it all up and starting again, under the banner of”‘what have you got to lose”. In my view, there is a tremendous amount to lose.

London’s economy, though flawed, is the engine that drives our national economy. Without it, we would be poorer, not richer. Public services across our nation are kept afloat by taxes raised in the capital. Crossrail was not just a good project, but also a means for facilitating the economic miracle that is our capital by increasing the size of the area from which its centre can be easily reached.

That city centre is one of the most productive places in the world. Most nations would kill to have a global city. Ours has arguably the most successful such city in the world, and it more than pays its way. Furthermore, there is some evidence that the UK’s other big cities are catching up to it, challenging the idea that the capital’s success is a drain on their resources or prevents them from growing too.

London was not quite “built” by migrants in the way that New York City was. But migrants, both national and domestic, have strengthened and improved it immeasurably. This is not just about food and music and sport and other things that make life worth living, but about cold hard economics. Innovation thrives on diversity of ideas and talents. Like many of our people, many of our businesses were born overseas. London is a sort of liberal free market experiment, and its dynamic blending of different people and skills and experiences and ways of thinking is the fuel that fires its pistons.

And, by the way, London does this exceptionally well. The last Census found that over three-quarters of a million households in London included individuals from multiple ethnic groups. That is nearly a third of all households with more than person living in them. More than one in 20 Londoners is of mixed ethnicity, and both the numbers and percentage of Londoners in that category increased between the 2011 and 2021 Censuses. If you don’t trust opinion poll findings about whether or not people from different backgrounds get on, consider the increasing numbers of them living and having babies together. I think that is fairly concrete evidence that they are getting on ok, thank you very much.

People come to London to meet others, not just to hide in the anonymity of a big city. It can be a lonely place, but so many people are here because they actually like and want to meet and interact with other people. That includes falling in love and pursuing other, less long-term, endeavours. You’ll have to forgive me here, but I do think love is another thing that makes life worth living. How sad to oppose it in any of its forms.

I considered ending on questions about what comes next – the impact of AI, global and national politics, climate change. Or even what might be done to help fix the so-called “London problem”. But these are issues for another day. For once, I would like to take the opportunity avoid trying to solve all of the world’s problems in this lecture.

My parting message will instead be a simple love letter in praise of London, this incredible, flawed, horrible, messy, dirty, beautiful city – the city in which I have lived my whole life, and in which you are all studying and working and living, whether you are here for a long time or for a good time.

London has its haters. But what do they know? You are here now, in the greatest city in the history of the world. What a time and a place to be alive. What a shame it would be to waste time hating one of the most remarkable achievements of civilisation – especially when so many of the accusations thrown at it are false.

Listen to Jack Brown’s lecture as he delivered it here.

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Categories: Comment

Greenwich: Labour launches without illusions

Labour won 52 of Greenwich’s 55 council seats in 2022, maintaining its habitual dominance of the south London borough. Only once in its history has a rival party taken control of Greenwich. That was way back in 1968, London Conservatism’s golden local elections year, when red was almost wiped off the capital’s political map.

To be at Saturday morning’s launch of Greenwich Labour’s 2026 campaign at the borough’s London South East Colleges campus was, therefore, to be made keenly aware that another rare reversal of the local party’s fortunes might be on the cards. An absence of illusions about what might happen on 7 May was everywhere.

“It will be frustrating, but we have to be patient when we’re talking to people,” said Abena Oppong-Asare, Labour MP for Erith & Thamesmead, which straddles the boundary between Greenwich and Bexley to its east. She told a gathering of candidates and campaigners: “We’ve got fight it as if we’re going to lose it.”

And lose it, they might. There have been straws in the wind: a by-election defeat by the Conservatives in October 2024; another to the Greens last June. The latter was largely due to some very local factors, and there have also been two Labour holds. Even so, the Greens are hoping for a lot more gains, and it was they who were cited as the main danger by Oppong-Asare in her speech. Mention was also made by her and others present of Reform UK gathering strength in the south, where the Tories just about avoided obliteration last time (the Tories themselves were not mentioned at all).

The ground war pep talks, including from local London Assembly member and former council leader Len Duvall, focused tightly on the need to emphasise Labour local government achievements and how the Labour national government has helped them happen. Current council leader Anthony Okereke told those gathered about “a belief in the Labour Party in this borough, a belief that we can make life better”. The headline slogan of Labour’s rather deluxe, 60-page manifesto is “Getting Things Done”.

Okereke picked out items from it to highlight for sceptical voters on doorsteps: plans for new provision for children with Special Educational Needs; cost of living support; an ongoing commitment to homebuilding. The manifesto also features a new Thames-side leisure centre, just opened, and children’s services rated “outstanding” by Ofsted. In preparation for photos, placards were handed out addressing topical everyday concerns about fly-tipping and crime.

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Oppong-Asare, speaking plainly, said “people are sick to death of seeing shit on their streets” and urged activists to tell residents about government plans to strengthen powers against fly-tipping, along with the incoming Renters’ Rights Act powers and leasehold reform measures, not forgetting the (eventual) lifting of the two-child benefit cap and the breakfast club roll-out and energy bill relief. “Residents are worried,” she said, about everything from the cost of living to the wars in Iran and Ukraine. In a media climate that’s made it hard for Labour to get a hearing, conveying those changes to people face-to-face can reassure them.

It seemed an astute summing up of Labour’s national predicament and its implications for Labour councils all over the capital. Meanwhile, London knows better than anywhere how hard it has been to bring forward new housing on the enormous – and, in the eyes of many seasoned judges – always unreachable scale the government has promised.

Still, Greenwich has long been unapologetically pro-development. Okereke knows from direct experience how hard it can be for young Londoners to find secure homes of their own: in an interview with Inside Housing last year, he described how he, in his mid-thirties and single, still lives with his parents.

Greenwich, with its old industrial legacy, has been regenerating fast, not least in Woolwich, with its handsome Elizabeth line station, a short walk along Plumstead Road from the Labour launch venue. Government blessing for the Docklands Light Railway extension south of the river into Thamesmead and its backing for a New Town there show that the borough is set to continue transforming fast.

Two days earlier, in next-door Lewisham, the Greens had launched their local election campaign claiming they would be better than Labour at building social and affordable homes – fighting talk that could be hard to be put into action if, as seems to be the case, the development sector is to be treated as an enemy. Oppong-Asare remarked that when new homes go up in Greenwich “it’s Green activists campaigning against it”.

The Green tide will surely rise in some Labour parts of Greenwich, but its demographics aren’t as receptive to Zack Polanski’s brand of Left protest politics as other Labour stronghold boroughs. Reform could make a mark, but its incursions will be limited to the parts of Greenwich that are most like Bexley, and seem likely to be achieved mostly at Conservative expense. No Overall Control looks a distinct possibility, but a hard-fought Labour hold cannot be ruled out.

On London has collaborated with public affairs specialists Lowick Hedry to produce a comprehensive, ward-by-ward guide to the 7 May London borough elections. It is written by On London publisher and editor Dave Hill and top-drawer elections analyst Lewis Baston. Sign up in advance for a copy here.

Follow Dave Hill on Bluesky and at LinkedIn.

Categories: News

Barking & Dagenham: Reform UK candidates – not as ‘White British’ as you might expect

According to Matt Goodwin, Reform UK’s chief intellectual – yes, some might quarrel with that description – people who meet his definition of “white Britons” will be “a minority in the country by the year 2063”. Goodwin’s view, expressed in a speech he made late last year, is that such a change would represent a “demographic crisis” and an “immigration crisis” that only a Reform national government would address. He argued that unless measures Reform proposes for curbing immigration are implemented “the social contract in our country will collapse” and “civil unrest” will ensue.

What might Goodwin make of the line-up of Reform candidates seeking election to Barking & Dagenham Council on 7 May?

Yesterday, very promptly after the 4pm deadline for nominations had passed, the Labour-run east London council published the full lists of people standing in its 19 electoral wards. Their residents will collectively elect 51 councillors. Here are the names of some of those contesting the elections for Reform:

  • Ripon Sheikh hopes to represent Parsloes ward. I know nothing else about him except that neither Goodwin nor anyone else would describe him as “white British”.
  • Then there’s Muhammad Hamza, who’s hoping to win in Chadwell Heath. I’ve yet to find a photo of him, but my hunch is that although, like Ripon Sheikh, he might very well be British, he isn’t white.
  • Goresbrook ward is to be contested for Reform by Manjeet Nandra. Would Goodwin consider her to be “white British”?
  • In Heath ward, Reform will be represented by Sunil Idiculla, whose proposer was Ben Suter, until recently a local Conservative but now chairman of Reform’s Barking & Dagenham branch. Sunil is popular Indian name. Candidate Idiculla might be as British as I am, but he is definitely not white.
  • Then there’s Reform candidate Ramesh Babu Boddukola, who is standing in Whalebone ward. A man of that name is listed at Companies House as a director of two companies, each with the same address in Dagenham. His nationality is stated as being British. His name, though, suggests to me that he isn’t white. You may draw your own conclusions from the photograph used in the LinkedIn profile of a Dagenham resident of that name, which also tells us that its subject was educated at a university in Hyderabad.

So that’s five people standing for Reform in Barking & Dagenham of ethnicities Reform’s Matt Goodwin would like to see less of in the United Kingdom now and in the future because of the “civil unrest” he claims their numbers threaten.

Here are some more people on the Reform slate:

  • There are three candidates whose forename is Ion. They are Ion Talambuta, Ion Ursachi (both running in Barking Riverside) and Ion Adam (Thames View). Talambuta and Uraschi are Romanian surnames. Ion is the Romanian equivalent of John.
  • There are two candidates whose surname is Suciu: Mariana Suciu, who is standing in Beam ward, and Alexandru Suciu, who is standing in Longbridge. Suciu is a Romanian surname.
  • So is Sanduleac, and a Marina Sanduleac is seeking election for Reform in Village ward. It seems likely that she is the same person who, last year, lost a court case against Barking & Dagenham Council after it refused to renew her lease on a café in one of its parks.
  • Other Reform candidates with surnames (and also often foresnames) of Romanian or other east European origin or association are Nina Sontea (Beam ward), Alexandra Arnuatu (Parsloes), Paul Mateiu (Northbury), Olesea Pasat (Wahlebone), Vera Botnari (Gascoigne), Costel Filipescu (Eastbury). Perhaps Zinaida Birlea (Eastbury) also qualifies.

There is a significant population of Romanian Londoners in Barking & Dagenham, its presence apparent in the form of high street food shops and restaurants. Romanian is the borough’s most frequently-spoken non-English language (followed by Bengali). Many Romanians moved to Britain after Romania’s access to the European Union in 2007, including to Barking & Dagenham. I cannot confirm that the three Ions, the two Sucius and the others mentioned above are living in the borough because of that, though it seems quite likely.

Who else is running for Nigel Farage’s party in Barking & Dagenham?

  • Well, there’s Tadas Karkauskas, seeking election for Gascoigne ward. Companies House records a person of that name as the director of TDS Decorating Ltd, which has a Dagenham correspondence address. Karkauskas is Lithuanian.
  • There’s Mavis Oti Boakye (Valence ward), who can be seen here.
  • There’s Fuad Ashraf (Chadwell Heath) whose surname I gather is often historically associated with the prophet Muhammad. A man of that name is listed at Companies House as the sole director of Dagenham-based Sparklean Cleaning Services Ltd. His nationality? Pakistani.
  • There’s Biljoy Johnson (Mayesbrook), whose forename is Bengali. See a picture of him here.
  • Sisir Das, another Indian, particularly Bengali, name. Another local businessman, perhaps?
  • Anish Samuel (Beam). A Sanskrit name, Anish is, of course, common in India and elsewhere.

All told, close to half of Reform’s 51 Barking & Dagenham candidates are either not British, not white, not either of those things, or very possibly British nationals and white but also immigrants or their descendants. All of them would seem to be either immigrants or descendants of immigrants, whatever their ethnicity.

This is all very London and rather nice. It is also pretty funny, given that Farage, Goodwin and other leading lights of Reform are vehemently of the view that Britain is being ruined by what they call “mass immigration”. The dozen or so Reform candidates with Romanian names bring to mind remarks made by Farage in 2014, when he was the leader of the UK Independence Party.

He said there was “a problem” with Romanians in London being criminals and agreed with the proposition that British people should be wary of Romanian families moving into their streets. This caused quite a stir. Now, members of such families are on board with his latest vehicle for his political ambitions.

For the avoidance of doubt, Reform is also fielding candidates called Dave Godfrey, Billy Edmunds and Tracey Jayne Sullivan-Sparks. Also of note in their ranks is Nick Vandyke – another interesting surname, there – who has been a Conservative election candidate more than once in the past, including twice for the London Assembly. But how will Reform’s nonetheless profoundly multicultural slate be received by voters in Barking & Dagenham, where Labour is braced for a serious Reform assault on its very large and long-held majority?

You can look it it two ways. On the one hand, some who might have had reservations about Reform’s strident nationalist populism, could be reassured. On the other, there may be those among the 62.4 per cent who voted to leave the EU in 2016 who take one look at the array of foreign names on offer, conclude that Reform is full of “bloody immigrants” and stay at home. Barking & Dagenham is definitely a borough to watch.

On London has collaborated with public affairs specialists Lowick Hedry to produce a comprehensive, ward-by-ward guide to the 7 May London borough elections. It is written by On London publisher and editor Dave Hill and top-drawer elections analyst Lewis Baston. Sign up in advance for a copy here.

Follow Dave Hill on Bluesky and at LinkedIn. Photo of Reform campaigners from the party’s Barking & Dagenham Facebook page.

Categories: News

Westminster: Meet the Conservative candidate who spoke at far-Right conference

The Conservatives have high hopes of regaining control of Westminster City Council on 7 May, having been defeated in the elections of 2022 for the first time in the borough’s history. Local support for the party has been waning in recent years in parallel with its embrace of Brexit and nationalist populism. In view of that, it is intriguing that one of their candidates for 2026 has long been aligned with that type pf politics.

Daniel Kawczynski was the Tory MP for Shrewsbury & Atcham from 2005 until his defeat there by Labour in the last general election. During his 19 years in the House of Commons he was parliamentary private secretary to the Secretary of State for Wales and an adviser to Prime Minister David Cameron on central and eastern Europe. He also chaired all-party groups for Saudi Arabia – a nation he greatly admires – and Libya. But some of his other endeavours while an MP attracted more attention.

The most controversial was his decision to speak at an event in Rome in 2020 that was also graced by Viktor Orbán, the far-Right prime minster of Hungary – regarded by some as Europe’s most corrupt nation state – and Matteo Salvini, leader of the far-Right populist Lega Party

Kawczynski reportedly defended his attendance by arguing that speakers at the gathering represented “serious ideas and concerns, some of which are shared by many citizens of the UK”. However, his fellow Conservative MP, Andrew Percy, who at the time chaired the all-party parliamentary group on antisemitism, had urged him not to go, while the president of the Board of Deputies of British Jews described his justification for doing so as “specious” and asked the Conservative Party to discipline him.

Orbán, a politician greatly admired by Donald Trump and his deputy JD Vance – who has travelled to Hungary to support Orbán’s re-election campaign – has long been accused of deploying antisemitic tropes as part of his populist armoury, including before the event in Rome Kawczynski spoke at.

Kawczynski was a supporter of Brexit and a member of the dedicatedly Eurosceptic European Research Group (ERG) until 2019, when he left it saying its activities endangered the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union. The previous year he had described ERG chair Jacob Rees-Mogg as “a hero of mine” and expressed the hope that he would one day seek to become Conservative leader.

There are other items in Kawczynski’s backstory that might not endear him to Westminster voters the Tories need to enthuse. In 2013, the Telegraph reported that he had, rather abrasively, told a one-legged man in a wheelchair who asked him for money to “get a job”, though Kawczynski assured the paper he had advised his supplicant about government initiatives to help people in his situation find work.

Later, in 2021, Kawczynski apologised from the Commons floor after Parliament’s standards commissioner found he had engaged in the “grossly unprofessional” bullying of Commons staff while under the influence of alcohol. During the same year, The Guardian revealed he had been searching for a well-paid second job with a Saudi company or other work relating to the Middle East.

The Westminster Council ward Kawczynski is set to contest is Maida Vale, where Labour’s 2022 winning margins were healthy. This adds credence to the view that he’s a paper candidate who, according to once source, had hoped and failed to be picked to fight a more winnable ward.

A case could just about be made for Kawczynski (who is also noted for being exceptionally tall) being seen as a cosmopolitan, socially liberal figure: born in Poland, he is married to a man from Brazil. But perhaps those involved in the candidate selection process decided it was better to be safe than sorry. It might, though, have been safer still to have not selected him at all.

Follow Dave Hill on Bluesky and at LinkedIn. Photo from City of Westminster Conservatives

On London has partnered with public affairs specialists Lowick Hedry to produce a comprehensive, ward-by-ward guide to the 7 May London borough elections. It is written by On London publisher and editor Dave Hill and top-drawer elections analyst Lewis Baston. Sign up in advance for a copy here.

Categories: News

Dave Hill: London’s Conservatives have lost their minds

An extraordinary email has been sent out by the Conservatives in London to their supporters in advance of May’s borough elections. It is signed by Susan Hall, the party’s soundly defeated candidate for Mayor of London in 2024 and current leader of the Tory group on the London Assembly. Alarmingly, it seems to show that London’s Tories are out of touch, out of ideas and possibly out of their minds.

Much of it is just numbingly predictable. Its main target is Sir Sadiq Khan, who isn’t even running for election. In this, as in so many other ways, the Tories are just echoing the far-Right populists Reform UK. “Crime is through the roof” it declares, another Reform attack line, and one we will get back to.

Then it just gets weird. Next sentence: “The cost of driving has surged thanks to ULEZ.” I don’t know if Hall was actually the principal author of the email, but this sounds a lot like her. Opposing the expansion of the Ultra-Low Emission Zone to the whole of Greater London was the centrepiece of her mayoral campaign, yet the change was only ever going to adversely affect a pretty small minority of London households.

Nearly half of them don’t even have a motor vehicle and most of those that did at the time of the second and latest expansion (Hall changed her mind about opposing the first one) owned cars or vans that complied with ULEZ standards. There was a reasonable cost-of-living case to be made against the policy, but as a campaign spearhead it failed the most elementary electoral maths. And that was two years ago. Astonishing.

Next sentence: “And our green spaces have been concreted over with ugly tower blocks.” What? Where? Been to Kensington Gardens, lately, Susan? Been to any of the many parks and open spaces in the London Borough of Harrow, where you live and are a councillor? Are you quite certain they’re now full of skyscrapers? All of them…? Bizarre.

Next sentence: “London’s gone backward.” I think she means “backwards.”

After that, there’s an invitation to sign a petition against Khan being given a peerage. This is presented as a done deal, an upcoming event, a true fact. The reality, of course, is that a newspaper – fair play, a good one, the Financial Times – reported that Sir Keir Starmer has been considering elevating Khan to the House of Lords at some point. But neither Number 10 nor City Hall have confirmed this. There is no date in the public diary. The petition is a stunt designed to mobilise Tory supporters by revving up their dislike of the Labour Mayor. Is that really the best they can do?

 

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As for crime in London, the Conservatives nationally as well as in the capital have been making exaggerated and sometimes ludicrous claims about it for the best part of three years. Remember that zany general election effort describing Mayor Khan as having “seized power”, claiming that Londoners cower in fear in their homes and featuring a scene of panicked flight from gunfire in an underground station in…New York?

On London has carried plenty of coverage of London crime rates, how they are measured and the various reasons why they might change over time. There is no doubt that certain kinds of street crime have increased, particularly in parts of the capital where the pickings are rich. But similar patterns have been seen the rest of the country and, meanwhile, recent Met stats have shown some trends in the right direction.

Were the Conservatives to propose intelligent, constructive and plausible alternative approaches to reducing street crime, they would merit a proper hearing. It would be nice if they came up with some. But the best the Hall email can do is complain about the closure of police stations, a pitch that would carry more weight if Boris Johnson when Mayor hadn’t overseen the closure of a lot more.

The email is depressing for those of us who, despite having centre-Left proclivities, recognise the need for a considered and well-argued centre-Right analysis of how London can be made a better place for Londoners and others. But there is no sign of it – still no sign – in the words distributed to Conservative supporters under Hall’s name. When will they ever get themselves in tune with the mainstream of London voters? When will they even start acknowledging that, at the moment, they are not?

Follow Dave Hill on Bluesky and at LinkedIn. Image from Susan Hall’s X/Twitter feed.

OnLondon.co.uk is funded by sales of publisher and editor Dave Hill’s twice-weekly newsletter On London Extra. To start receiving it, become a paying subscriber to Dave’s personal Substack. Thanks.

Categories: Comment

True London Podcast: Inclusion and belonging in Newham

To begin, some political context. It is, after all, just over a month before a set of borough elections take place that look sure to reshape London’s political map in dramatic ways. There is no more vivid example of that than what could happen in Newham. The east London borough has been dominated by Labour at all levels for decades, but there is a strong possibility of that changing.

Labour’s principal challenger is a local political party called the Newham Independents, which has beaten Labour in three out of the eight by-elections held since the last full borough elections in 2022 and is mounting a determined campaign to win both the Newham mayoralty and a majority on the council.

The Green Party, too, will be looking to benefit from national and perhaps also local disillusion with Labour. But it’s the rise of the Newham Independents that is of greatest significance. That is partly because they are making the biggest challenge to the political status quo, but it is also because its membership and candidates appear to be almost entirely Muslim.

What might the implications be for a multi-ethnic and multi-faith population of more than 350,000 people of a party taking power that is rooted in single, minority faith community? Muslim Londoners account for a substantial proportion of Newham’s people, but not a majority. Just over a third identified themselves as such in the last Census (conducted in 2021), slightly fewer than reported they were Christian. A further 14.5 per cent said they had no religion.

Not every Newham Muslim will vote for the Newham Independents and not every Newham resident who votes for the Newham Independents will be Muslim. However, if a political party wins power overwhelmingly due to the support of the faith or cultural group from which it springs, there will be a particular onus on it to ensure that its administration serves everyone in Newham and is seen to do so.

That responsibility would be no different in essence from that borne by local government bodies led by politicians of any other political party. But in these times of ugly “culture war” at home and abroad and of the hostility directed by some at Muslims all over Britain, a Newham Council led by Newham Independents would need to make a sustained and convincing effort to discharge it.

***

Such is the electoral scenario forming some of the context in which a document was published last month by British Future, a think tank whose director, Sunder Katwala, was my guest for the latest edition of the True London podcast. Entitled Bringing People Together in a Place of Change, it reports on the findings of an Independent Commission on Inclusion and Belonging in Newham, and has been backed from the start by Newham’s current Mayor, Rokshana Fiaz (who will be standing down in May).

In his Foreword, Sunder describes Newham, with its fast-growing and heavily-churning population and, in some areas, its rapid redevelopment, as being “at the heart of the central challenge of our times”. He defines this in the form of a question: “how do we handle diversity and immigration fairly, respect our differences and work on what brings people together in our changing society?”

The report paints a largely positive picture of a wide range of local people recognising “the benefits of a diverse culture”, but it also emphasised the borough’s need for “a shared vision for inclusion” to be produced by the council, accompanied by a “strategy for action”.

In our 20-minute conversation, we spoke about that and some of the most telling detail within the report, which illuminates the importance to inclusion and belonging of everything from big community events to tackling litter and fly-tipping. Watch below or just listen here.

Here’s another plug for the British Future report. Follow Dave Hill on Bluesky and at LinkedIn

OnLondon.co.uk is funded by sales of publisher and editor Dave Hill’s twice-weekly newsletter On London Extra. To start receiving it, become a paying subscriber to Dave’s personal Substack. Thanks.

Categories: Analysis